As the country's provincial legislatures break for summer, there appears to be an outbreak of election fever. Three provinces have elections this fall, but statements from premiers in two others have ramped up speculation that elections could be coming sooner than scheduled in those provinces as well.

New premier approval data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute brings good news for Manitoba Premier Wab Kinew, who continues his term at the top of the rankings with approval of two-thirds (66%) in the province, and Newfoundland and Labrador's Andrew Furey, who is reviewed positively by a majority (55%) of his residents after an eight-point bump from last quarter.

But it's perhaps an election year trio - Saskatchewan's Scott Moe, B.C.'s David Eby and New Brunswick's Blaine Higgs - who are watching assessments most closely. Moe's approval remains statistically unchanged from last quarter at 49 per cent but continues to be down from highs seen earlier in his term. Eby has consistently garnered appraisal from at least two-in-five constituents since replacing John Horgan, but his approval has declined by five points to 43 per cent. Approval of Higgs remains low, with just three-in-ten (31%) saying they approve of the New Brunswick premier.

Premiers in Ontario and Nova Scotia have fueled early election speculation. Nova Scotia's Tim Houston holds the enviable approval position to Ontario's Doug Ford. More than two-in-five (44%) approve of Houston; three-in-ten (31%) in Ontario offer Ford a thumb's up.

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